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Emergency and disaster management briefing for July 26, 2019: The latest heat wave to hit Europe smashes records and has negative impacts on infrastructure, including train service; the INL has resumed normal operations as fire crews continue work to contain the Sheep Fire; vaccines might not be enough to stop the Ebola outbreak in the DRC as mistrust and ongoing violence undermine efforts to fight the disease; an intense manhunt is underway in Canada for two teens suspected in the deaths of three people; 16 Marines were arrested in Camp Pendleton in connection with human smuggling; a man is in custody in California following a shooting spree that left four people dead and two others wounded; Oregon is on high alert for wildfires amid critical fire weather and red flag warnings; and utilities in California have agreed to contribute to a fund to help offset costs from wildfires sparked by electric company equipment.

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1) A second heat wave has gripped Europe, sending temperatures soaring straight into the record books. Paris smashed its old record when it reached a whopping 108.6 degrees Fahrenheit on Thursday, and authorities in France have attributed at least five deaths to the current heat wave. Several countries set all-time-high heat records this week, including Belgium, Germany and the Netherlands. Infrastructure across the region was impacted, including nuclear reactors and the Notre Dame Cathedral in France, along with trains and train service in England and Belgium.

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2) Fire crews stated Thursday that the Sheep Fire in Idaho is under control, and operations at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) have returned to normal conditions. Fire officials stated that the blaze was difficult to contain because it was extreme and erratic, mostly due to high winds and dry conditions. As of Wednesday afternoon, the Sheep Fire had consumed at least 110,000 acres, although officials noted that the public was not in any danger and no radiological release to the environment occurred.

3) Reports indicate that the current outbreak of Ebola in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is in danger of spreading further, because it has been difficult to contain the virus due to mistrust and ongoing violence in the region. A vaccine developed by Merck was deemed largely effective to prevent infection by Ebola, but there may not be enough available and the only other vaccine available has not been tested. In addition, over a quarter of the residents believe the outbreak is not real, and the vaccines are not meant to eradicate the disease, but actually a plot to help it spread.

4) An intense manhunt is underway and warrants have been issued across Canada for two teens suspected of murdering at least three people. The teens are suspected of killing a couple, Chynna Reese and Lucas Fowler, and a third victim, Leonard Dyck, 64. Authorities noted that all three murders occurred on remote roads. The Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) stated that the two teens, Kam McLeod, 19, and Bryer Schmegelsky, 18, should be considered armed and dangerous, and that they may traveling together or separately.

5) Sixteen Marines were arrested at Camp Pendleton on Thursday during a battalion formation, while another eight Marines were pulled aside for questioning for unrelated alleged drug offenses. The 16 Marines were arrested in connection with human smuggling, but have not yet been officially charged. The U.S. Marine Corps noted that those arrested were members of the 1st Battalion, 5th Marines at Camp Pendleton in California, but were not serving in support of the ongoing Southwest Border Support mission.

6) Authorities have arrested the suspect allegedly involved in a 12-hour shooting spree that spanned four locations across the San Fernando Valley in California, leaving four people dead and two others wounded. The shooting spree allegedly began around 2:00 a.m. Thursday, when police responded to a report of multiple shooting victimes and found a woman and two men with gunshot wounds. Gerry Dean Zaragoza, 26, the alleged gunman, reportedly shot two people at a gas station in North Hollywood, then allegedly boarded a bus in Lake Balboa where he shot a man in the head and killed him.

7) As temperatures heat up in Oregon, wildfire risks are increasing, especially in the Willamette Valley, which prompted a Red Flag Warning for Thursday for much of the area. Critical fire weather, including extremely dry conditions, low relative humidity, and winds of 10-15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph, can cause fire to spread rapidly. One wildfire was already burning near Canyonville — the Milepost 97 Fire. This fire consumed 150 acres, prompted evacuation orders for some residents and closed a southbound off-ramp on I-5.

8) Utilities in California have agreed to contribute to a fund to help offset costs from wildfires sparked by power company equipment that ultimately could help to protect ratepayers. San Diego Gas & Electric was the first utility to agree to pay into the fund, followed by three other investor-owned electric utilities, including Pacific Gas & Electric and Southern California Edison. The utilities agreed to contribute a combined $10.5 billion to the fund, but are also required to meet new safety standards and spend billions on fire prevention measures.

 

One of the most interesting facts about the terrorist attacks in Paris is that a pair of brothers was involved. For the intelligence analyst, understanding family connections in a terror group is critical. Counterterror analysts go to great lengths to understand the organization of terrorist and extremist groups in an effort to profile and predict their operations. AMU’s Erik Kleinsmith, a former Army Intelligence Officer, discusses how the appearance of brothers and other family members within a terror organization can provide counterterrorism analysts with potential patterns and trends that require further analysis. Here are seven things to consider.

The attacks in Paris were unlike other recent homegrown or ISIS-inspired terrorist attacks here in the U.S. and abroad since it appears to have been a well-planned and coordinated complex attack. At this early stage, it appears that this most recent attack in Paris employed a hybrid mix of homegrown terrorists, formerly returned foreign fighters, as well as possible covert infiltration of at least one terrorist as a refugee. What strategy should the U.S. deploy to counter ISIL? AMU professor Jeffrey Gardner writes about how our intelligence agencies and special operations forces need to fight smartly with regional nations.